Seasonality of infectious diseases and severe acute respiratory syndrome–what we don't know can hurt us
Identifieur interne : 005099 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 005098; suivant : 005100Seasonality of infectious diseases and severe acute respiratory syndrome–what we don't know can hurt us
Auteurs : Scott F. Dowell [Thaïlande] ; Mei Shang Ho [Taïwan]Source :
- The Lancet. Infectious Diseases [ 1473-3099 ] ; 2004.
Abstract
The novel severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) coronavirus caused severe disease and heavy economic losses before apparently coming under complete control. Our understanding of the forces driving seasonal disappearance and recurrence of infectious diseases remains fragmentary, thus limiting any predictions about whether, or when, SARS will recur. It is true that most established respiratory pathogens of human beings recur in wintertime, but a new appreciation for the high burden of disease in tropical areas reinforces questions about explanations resting solely on cold air or low humidity. Seasonal variation in host physiology may also contribute. Newly emergent zoonotic diseases such as ebola or pandemic strains of influenza have recurred in unpredictable patterns. Most established coronaviruses exhibit winter seasonality, with a unique ability to establish persistent infections in a minority of infected animals. Because SARS coronavirus RNA can be detected in the stool of some individuals for at least 9 weeks, recurrence of SARS from persistently shedding human or animal reservoirs is biologically plausible.
Url:
DOI: 10.1016/S1473-3099(04)01177-6
PubMed: 15522683
PubMed Central: 7129396
Affiliations:
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Dowell</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">International Emerging Infections Program, Thai Ministry of Public Health and the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Nonthaburi, Thailand</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Thaïlande</country><wicri:regionArea>International Emerging Infections Program, Thai Ministry of Public Health and the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Nonthaburi</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Nonthaburi</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Ho, Mei Shang" sort="Ho, Mei Shang" uniqKey="Ho M" first="Mei Shang" last="Ho">Mei Shang Ho</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff2">Institute of Biomedical Sciences, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Taïwan</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute of Biomedical Sciences, Academia Sinica, Taipei</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Taipei</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PMC</idno><idno type="pmid">15522683</idno><idno type="pmc">7129396</idno><idno type="url">http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7129396</idno><idno type="RBID">PMC:7129396</idno><idno type="doi">10.1016/S1473-3099(04)01177-6</idno><date when="2004">2004</date><idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Corpus">000999</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PMC">000999</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Curation">000999</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Curation">000999</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Pmc/Checkpoint">001491</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Pmc" wicri:step="Checkpoint">001491</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Merge">000B82</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Curation">000B82</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Checkpoint">000B82</idno><idno type="wicri:doubleKey">1473-3099:2004:Dowell S:seasonality:of:infectious</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Merge">005470</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Curation">005099</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Exploration">005099</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en" level="a" type="main">Seasonality of infectious diseases and severe acute respiratory syndrome–what we don't know can hurt us</title><author><name sortKey="Dowell, Scott F" sort="Dowell, Scott F" uniqKey="Dowell S" first="Scott F" last="Dowell">Scott F. Dowell</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">International Emerging Infections Program, Thai Ministry of Public Health and the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Nonthaburi, Thailand</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Thaïlande</country><wicri:regionArea>International Emerging Infections Program, Thai Ministry of Public Health and the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Nonthaburi</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Nonthaburi</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Ho, Mei Shang" sort="Ho, Mei Shang" uniqKey="Ho M" first="Mei Shang" last="Ho">Mei Shang Ho</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff2">Institute of Biomedical Sciences, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">Taïwan</country><wicri:regionArea>Institute of Biomedical Sciences, Academia Sinica, Taipei</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Taipei</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">The Lancet. Infectious Diseases</title><idno type="ISSN">1473-3099</idno><idno type="eISSN">1474-4457</idno><imprint><date when="2004">2004</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><title>Summary</title><p>The novel severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) coronavirus caused severe disease and heavy economic losses before apparently coming under complete control. Our understanding of the forces driving seasonal disappearance and recurrence of infectious diseases remains fragmentary, thus limiting any predictions about whether, or when, SARS will recur. It is true that most established respiratory pathogens of human beings recur in wintertime, but a new appreciation for the high burden of disease in tropical areas reinforces questions about explanations resting solely on cold air or low humidity. Seasonal variation in host physiology may also contribute. Newly emergent zoonotic diseases such as ebola or pandemic strains of influenza have recurred in unpredictable patterns. Most established coronaviruses exhibit winter seasonality, with a unique ability to establish persistent infections in a minority of infected animals. Because SARS coronavirus RNA can be detected in the stool of some individuals for at least 9 weeks, recurrence of SARS from persistently shedding human or animal reservoirs is biologically plausible.</p></div></front><back><div1 type="bibliography"><listBibl><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Dowell, Sf" uniqKey="Dowell S">SF Dowell</name></author><author><name sortKey="Whitney, Cg" uniqKey="Whitney C">CG Whitney</name></author><author><name sortKey="Wright, C" uniqKey="Wright C">C Wright</name></author><author><name sortKey="Rose, Ce" uniqKey="Rose C">CE Rose</name></author><author><name sortKey="Schuchat, A" uniqKey="Schuchat A">A Schuchat</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Witte, J" uniqKey="Witte J">J Witte</name></author><author><name sortKey="Karchmer, A" uniqKey="Karchmer A">A Karchmer</name></author><author><name sortKey="Case, M" uniqKey="Case M">M 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sortKey="Abbott, A" uniqKey="Abbott A">A Abbott</name></author><author><name sortKey="Knight, J" uniqKey="Knight J">J Knight</name></author><author><name sortKey="Cyranoski, D" uniqKey="Cyranoski D">D Cyranoski</name></author></analytic></biblStruct></listBibl></div1></back></TEI><affiliations><list><country><li>Taïwan</li><li>Thaïlande</li></country></list><tree><country name="Thaïlande"><noRegion><name sortKey="Dowell, Scott F" sort="Dowell, Scott F" uniqKey="Dowell S" first="Scott F" last="Dowell">Scott F. Dowell</name></noRegion></country><country name="Taïwan"><noRegion><name sortKey="Ho, Mei Shang" sort="Ho, Mei Shang" uniqKey="Ho M" first="Mei Shang" last="Ho">Mei Shang Ho</name></noRegion></country></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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